Democratic polling memo says Murphy tops West, 52-43by George Bennett | October 1st, 2012
At least one partisan pollster is very wrong about the congressional District 18 race.
A few days after U.S. Rep. Allen West‘s pollster released a memo saying the incumbent holds a 52-to-41 percent lead over Democratic challenger Patrick Murphy, the Democratic House Majority PAC released a memo today saying Murphy leads West by a 52-to-43 percent margin.
The memo by Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (as is typical of both Republican and Democratic internal polls, a memo but not the poll itself was released) says its sample for Palm Beach-Treasure Coast congressional District 18 was 44 percent Republican and 37 percent Democrat — a heavier Republican tilt than the actual district, where Republicans have a 2.2-percent registration edge.
The poll has a 4.9 percent margin of error. West has an underwater approval rating (40 percent positive, 47 percent negative) while Murphy is a little better than even (33 percent positive, 29 percent negative).
West’s poll says Mitt Romney is leading President Obama by 7 points in the district. The new Democratic poll says Obama holds a 7-point lead over Romney.