Q poll: Obama lead narrows in Florida after Ryan ‘micro-bump’ for Romney; Nelson leads Mackby George Bennett | August 23rd, 2012
The newest Quinnipiac University poll shows President Obama holding a 49-to-46 percent lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters in Florida — down from a 6-point Obama lead in the state three weeks ago.
Quinnipiac attributes Romney’s modest gain to a “micro-bump” from naming Paul Ryan as his running mate.
The poll, conducted Aug. 15-21 with a 2.8 percent margin of error, is sure to continue the debate over Quinnipiac’s voter sample. In the latest survey, 34 percent of voters identified themselves as Democrats and 28 percent as Republicans. That compares to actual 2008 Florida turnout that was 37 percent Democratic and 34 percent Republican, according to exit polls.
Republicans have accused Quinnipiac of oversampling Democrats in its last few polls; Democrats aired similar complaints in May when Quinnipiac’s sample was 34 percent Republican and 31 percent Democrat and Romney had a 6-point lead.
Ryan is viewed favorably by 35 percent and unfavorably by 29 percent of Florida voters in the new poll. Vice President Joe Biden, by comparison, is viewed favorably by 37 percent and unfavorably by 44 percent.
The new poll also gives Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson a 50-to-41 percent lead over Republican Rep. Connie Mack. And it continues Gov. Rick Scott‘s streak of underwater approval ratings, with 41 percent approving of the governor’s job performance and 47 percent disapproving. Scott’s approval/disapproval score was 36/52 in Quinnipiac’s Aug. 1 poll.