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Poll: Romney 47, Obama 41 in Florida; Rubio not a big factor

by George Bennett | May 23rd, 2012

Mitt Romney is gaining in Florida, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll that shows the Republican with a 6-point lead over President Obama after trailing the incumbent by 7 points in late March.

Romney’s 47-to-41 percent advantage in the new poll, which has a 2.4 percent margin of error, compares to a statistically insignificant 44-to-43 percent lead for the Republican in a Quinnipiac poll at the beginning of the month. And it compares to a 49-to-42 percent lead for Obama two months ago.

Click here to read the new poll.

The survey finds Florida voters, who approved a constitutional amendment banning gay marriage in 2008, remain opposed to such unions by a 50-to-40 percent margin. When given a choice of three options, 36 percent support same-sex marriage, 34 percent support civil unions and 23 percent favor no legal recognition of any kind for same-sex relationships.

President Obama’s recent announcement that he supports gay marriage makes no difference in how they’ll vote for president, 63 percent of Florida voters say in the poll. Another 25 percent say it makes them less likely to vote for Obama, while 11 percent say they are more likely to vote for him because of the announcement.

Republican Sen. Marco Rubio gets high favorability and approval ratings in the poll, but adding him to the presidential ticket wouldn’t have a big impact. A Romney-Rubio ticket gets 49 percent to 41 percent for Obama and Vice President Joe Biden.

Voters have a net favorable view of Romney and a net unfavorable view of Obama. By a 50-to-40 percent margin, they say Romney would do a better job handling the economy.

Romney is viewed favorably by 44 percent and unfavorably by 35 percent — roughly the same numbers he’s had in Quinnipiac polls since late January.

Obama is viewed favorably by 45 percent and unfavorably by 50 percent of Florida voters. Asked to rate Obama’s job performance, 44 percent approve and 52 percent disapprove. Similarly, 44 percent say Obama deserves to be reelected, with 52 percent saying he doesn’t.

Rubio is viewed favorably by 44 percent and unfavorably by 24 percent. His job approval score is 54 percent positive and 27 percent negative.

39 Responses to “Poll: Romney 47, Obama 41 in Florida; Rubio not a big factor”

  1. Peter Schorsch Says:

    Key takeaways from today’s Qunnipiac poll of Florida showing Romney 47%, Obama 41%

    bit.ly/LCpijc

  2. Hello! Says:

    Rubio will have a positive influence in FL if selected for VP spot.

  3. Penn Gillette Says:

    And they likely oversampled democrats so the results are even worse for Obama.

    Had the oversampled “weed” users or folks that “use a little blow” as Obama describes himself in his autobiography, Obama would have done much better.

  4. OBAMA 2012 Says:

    This poll means next to nothing. Romney may have a small lead but this contest has not even started yet, so polling is not going to be accurate. This is proven by the 13% swing in just two months.

    OBAMA 2012!

  5. OBAMA 2012 Says:

    Stay classy Penn Gillette. Jeez. You Republicans are simply too much. How bout maturing past the 3rd grade. Try it sometime.

  6. npgator Says:

    Obama is completely over his head!

  7. npgator Says:

    Obam 2012 – you need to wake up! This president is taking us right over a cliff.

  8. Bill Says:

    You want more failed trickle down economics go ahead Vote for Willard but before you do check his record as Governor see what he did for the Middle Class, If he becomes president State & Gov. workers all across the US will be taking hair cuts, union busting will continue in the name of saving money, trim the fat will be the new buzz words.And Corporate welfare will double and the Middle class will be left to pay the bills once again . We need everyone to pay there fair share and that includes higher taxes for the rich with time limits untill we get out of debt, it is not fair that wages are stagnent while the wealthy sit on there money and look down at the rest of us. Romney has laid his cards on the table more of the same policy that have created this mess and if you think he wont start another war your mistaken we will be breathing down Iran’s neck before the rugs are changed in the white house. This Election is the deciding factor on our recovery Austerity alone will not work we need a combination of solutions and Willard is a 1 trick pony.

  9. No Problem Says:

    President Obama will easily win without Floriduh, he already has the other two swing states, Pennsylvania and Ohio. The recent brain drain due to the lack of jobs for the educated is evident.

  10. Chester Says:

    Romney also leads 3 to 1 when grandmothers are polled. Romney has 3 on his Dad’s side Obama has 1.

    Romney, if elected, would be the first pastor of a cult to be president. The White House will be moved to Missouri, you know, where Jesus lived after his resurrection.

    I sure hope he picks another right wing Tea Bagger to be his VP. I am hoping for Allan West.

  11. OBAMA 2012 Says:

    npgator,

    Mitt Romney wants to blow a MASSIVE hole in the budget — adding TRILLIONS to the debt — by slashing taxes for the rich, ending social safety net programs, and INCREASING military spending.

    You must be one-a-them Fiscal Neoconservatives.

  12. Election Czar Says:

    Barack Hussein Obama is Lord of the Universe and president by divine right. Bow down before him in the voting booth this November or face a Justice Department investigation.

  13. Chester Says:

    Romney can sing America the Beautiful on the campaign stump, but when it came time to serve America during Vietnam Nam, he ran to France. Speaks French fluently.

    New drinking game, anytime Romney says George W Bush, take a drink. You ll be sober the rest of your life.

    Where’s all the GW supporters now? What night will GW speak in prime time at the Rep Convention?

    Yes, let’s go back to those good old days.

  14. Nuff said Says:

    Polls, schmolls. Like the 2010 mid-terms this is going to be a wave election. A substantial majority are quietly motivated to express their dissatisfaction with Obama by voting. Obama supporters are fragmented and disheartened and poorly led. Blacks and the basic liberal cadre are on Obama;s side but few others. Blacks and youth won’t flood the polls. There is going to be a vast turn out of middle class white Christians and catholics, retirees, military and conservatives of all stripes who feel this is a crusade to restore their country

  15. kelly Says:

    You may be right, Nuff. But it could wave back to 2008 as many people see they made a mistake in 2010 by electing so many tea party candidates. The middle class is not interested in wedge issues, they want solutions. They see no willingness to compromise, only rigid ideology. The big question I have is, why is Romney not running on his executive experience as governor?

  16. REal American Says:

    I love all the GOPers here who mooch off the Govt and bash Obama, isn’t it funny that a majority of the job creators are Liberal. FL voted for a Gov in Rick Scott, now look how your deficit doubled and your poverty rate tripled. And who are they polling here exactly. I know it is no one in Dade, Broward or Palm Beach County.

  17. John Says:

    And all Obama can talk about is Romney’s business at bain – which saved many companies, brought them into the modern era and provided jobs. Sure, some companies failed, but they were already on life support anyway that’s why they called Bain Capital in. Obama = loser, so go back to your “blow” cool dude. I hope we change in 2012

  18. OBAMA 2012 Says:

    So John,

    Like Mitt Romney, you want to repeal common sense reform and turn our economy over to the Vegas-style casino that is Wall Street?

    How’d that work out for America in 2008 and 2009?

    Better question:

    Why do you hate the Middle Class?

  19. OBAMA 2012 Says:

    Can anyone tell me why a “BUSINESSMAN” with Wall Street connections wants to add TRILLIONS to the debt by slashing taxes for the rich, ending social safety net programs, and increasing military spending?

    Can ANYONE answer that question?

    Because that is what we need to ask of Mitt Romney. Not just ask him what he will do, because he has already said so…

    …we just need to know WHY he wants to add trillions to the debt.

    My guess is that he thinks it is good for Wall Street if the Middle Class would simply disappear. If that is his MO, he is factually wrong.

  20. workerjoe Says:

    #19, it is you who is factually wrong, out of touch clueless about economics etc. If you really think that rich business owners are going to allow themselves to be taxed TRILLIONS as you say, then you have a short memory.When it became apparent that obamo would be elected in aug and sept. 2008 the rich took their off the table and sat on it. Why would I work all my life and be fiscally responsible just so obamo could give it away? The answer is I won’t. A business friendly administration that rewards hard work and ingenuity is better for all. And don’t say ”well he saved GM”. Ford,toyota, honda etc are doing fine without a bailout. That bailout was just a gift to the unions and most people know that.

  21. Newt Romney Says:

    Eastern Utah (Florida) just can’t wait to get their cult leader in the White House!

  22. Kim Says:

    Obama will not receive my vote this time.. I was better off under the last idiot.

  23. There it goes Says:

    Romney just lost FL with his speech on education today.

    I support vouchers for all parents, but too many teachers are unhappy in this state, and it will be reflected at the polls.

    What the teachers do fail to realize is that President Obama and his wife
    by- passed their own neighborhood public school in Chicago and sent their daughters to a Charter School.

    President Obama actively supports Merit Pay for Teachers based on Test Scores.

    And he currently sends his children to a $30K per child private school.

    None of President Obama’s actions (and his actions speak louder than his words)show support for public schools, public school teachers. He is pandering for votes.

  24. OBAMA 2012 Says:

    workerjoe,

    You are the perfect example of what is wrong with this country. Ignorant, impervious to facts, and proud of it.

    Bottom line, if you vote Republican, you are *NOT* fiscally responsible. You are fiscally IRRESPONSIBLE.

    Unless, that is, that you LIKE LIVING IN A COUNTRY WITH $20T DEBT!

    Btw, the President’s name is OBAMA. Not “obamo”. Barack Obama. Why you Republicans insist on acting like 8-year-olds is beyond me.

  25. Irish Mike Says:

    Look, the stimulus failed, the outstretched hand of diplomacy to Iran failed, and ObamaCare is unpopular, unaffordable and unconstitutional. Despite what Joe Biden claims, America is neither more feared nor more respected in the world.

    But Mr. Obama has done one thing I thought was impossible. Remember the Bush presidency (especially before “Speaker Pelosi”) fondly.

  26. Irish Mike Says:

    Hey OBAMA! Who exactly wants to SLASH taxes? I know there are some proposals to lower MARGINAL RATES and eliminate some DEDUCTIONS, but NOBODY I know is proposing anything but REVENUE NEUTRAL reforms (I wrote in some caps because it appears that’s your way of understanding emphasis. To everyone else I apologize.)

  27. OBAMA 2012 Says:

    “the outstretched hand of diplomacy to Iran failed”

    Proof that you know LITERALLY NOTHING about what you’re talking about.

    It’s like you’re screaming out to the world how ignorant you are.

    Believe me, WE HEAR YOU.

  28. OBAMA 2012 Says:

    “REVENUE NEUTRAL reforms”

    Yet another way-out-in-left-field blatant lie from the Romney camp and the right wing.

    Here is the “liberal” take on Romney’s economic plan (by liberal I mean factually accurate) from the most left wing commie rag known to mankind… FORBES MAGAZINE.

    *Romney’s Tax Plan Would Add $3T To Deficit Over A Decade*

    “Last week, Mitt Romney proposed a new tax plan that would, among other things, reduce individual tax rates by 20 percent across the board and repeal the Alternative Minimum Tax. To get a rough sense of what those two tax cuts would cost, the Tax Policy Center crunched the numbers. The result: They would be really, really expensive.

    TPC found that repealing the AMT and cutting rates by 20 percent would increase the deficit by more than $3 trillion over the next 10 years, even after the 2001/2003/2010 tax cuts are extended.

    Romney has taken to campaigning under one of those digital debt clocks that shows the flow of red ink increasing by the second. But if he can’t find about $3 trillion to offset this exceedingly generous tax cut, that clock will be running a lot faster on his watch than it does today.”

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/beltway/2012/02/29/romneys-tax-plan-would-add-3t-to-deficit-over-a-decade/

  29. Irish Mike Says:

    Let me ask a simple question (hoping against hope for a simple answer): The government last year collected about $2.8 trillion, and spent around $4.3 trillion. In your opinion, what should be the more appropriate revenue and spending targets?

    I don’t care from whom you collect the money, or what you spend it on, just how much should the government look to collect and spend?

  30. Irish Mike Says:

    And since you continue to call the across-the-board tax rates that have been in place for almost 10 years a “cut”, please explain how government receipts increased from 1.782 trillion in 2003 (when the new rates went into effect) to $2.523 in 2008 (when Obama was elected)? (Source: The White House OMB http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/Historicals)

    Do you really believe that the economy would hae grown as fast (and government revenues even faster) with somewhat higher marginal rates on just the 1% of earners that liberals are targeting?

  31. OBAMA 2012 Says:

    The government should run a balanced budget.

    That means cut military spending, reform entitlements so trillions of dollars aren’t shunted to corporations (pharma, insurance, etc), and increasing the upper marginal tax rate and the capital gains tax.

    Btw, any comment on the Forbes article, or are you just going to add it to the VAST ARCHIVE of facts that are too inconvenient for the GOP to discuss openly?

    Another one of those inconvenient facts for the GOP is the so-called “big spending” under Obama. This article thoroughly debunks that ludicrous claim.

    *Obama spending binge never happened*

    “Although there was a big stimulus bill under Obama, federal spending is rising at the slowest pace since Dwight Eisenhower brought the Korean War to an end in the 1950s.

    Even hapless Herbert Hoover managed to increase spending more than Obama has.

    http://articles.marketwatch.com/2012-05-22/commentary/31802270_1_spending-federal-budget-drunken-sailor

    POLITIFACT:

    Obama has indeed presided over the slowest growth in spending of any president using raw dollars, and it was the second-slowest if you adjust for inflation. The math simultaneously backs up Nutting’s calculations and demolishes Romney’s contention.

  32. OBAMA 2012 Says:

    You can post your lies all day long, but the fact remains that unless you and every other Republican — including Mitt Romney, Allen West, Adam Hasner, Connie Mack, etc — openly and honestly answer those two inconvenient facts, you will continue to damage your party’s chances in November.

  33. Irish Mike Says:

    You cite a flawed analysis from “Marketwatch” that attributes the Stimulus to GWB, and I post from the White House OMB, and you say I’m posting lies. Typical. (There are other flaws with the Marketwatch analysis, too, dealing with TARP).

    The Obama Administration, not me, projects that tax revenues will increase from an actual $2.3 trillion in 2011 to an estimated $3.92 trillion in 2017, yet he still projects a $612 billion deficit because spending increases from $3.6 trillion (2011 actual) to $4.5 trillion (2017 projected).Your candidate is either lying, or engaging in fantasies.

    I knew I wasn’t going to get a simple answer, and I was right. You say there should be a balanced budget, but at what figure? $3 trillion? $4 trillion?

    Mr. Obama has never even proposed a balanced budget, and his latest was voted down 99-0 in the Senate. The only bi-partisan agreement we have is opposition to what he’s proposing.

  34. OBAMA 2012 Says:

    LOL, oh ok, flawed analysis.

    You don’t know your a$$ from a hole in the wall if you think that the FY2009 budget was Obama’s.

    Bottom line:

    You can’t answer these questions honestly because they make you and your candidates look terrible and will damage your party’s chances in November.

    It is sad that you cannot be honest about these issues. It only makes me and millions of others think that you have something to hide. Of course, that is accurate. What you are hiding from is your party’s 30-year plan to eliminate the Middle Class and turn the power of the federal government over to corporatist plutocrats like the Koch Brothers, the Walton family, and so many others.

    Again, it is just SAD and pathetic that you refuse to be honest about issues that effect Florida and America.

  35. LaQuishaNiqua Jones Says:

    Hussein will be the next Jimmy Carter. One and done. The electorate in this country is so fed up with this bird its pathetic. Vast waves of voters,literally herds,will storm the polls voting for Mitt. Cant take this bird anymore.

    And of all things…the jewish vote in palm beach is swinging Mitts way as well. We need a business man in the white house…not a rabble rousing divider.

  36. Educator Says:

    It’s amazing that any poll that favors Barry Soetoro or anything Left or Liberal is accurate, timely, valid and reflects the beliefs of the country…

    But any poll favoring anything RIght or Conservative is totally bogus. How can this be??

    I’ve even seen Gallup called right-wing by people who have posted on this web site

    Hopefully you all will move to France when Barry loses in November

  37. Oscar Says:

    Romney is going to win

  38. OBAMA 2012 Says:

    “What could have been more divisive than, when President Obama was inaugurated, for a number of Republicans, friends of mine, and a number of commentators to say, ‘We’re going to destroy him. We’re going to destroy him’?”

    ~ Colin Powell, 5/23/12

  39. Tax Brackets Says:

    You will be sent tax forms by Etrade. Being a college student does not mean that you get free untaxed investment income.

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