Poll: Florida too close to call as Romney gains, gender gap narrowsby George Bennett | May 3rd, 2012
Romney holds a 44-to-43 percent edge over Obama in the new Florida poll, which was conducted April 25-May 1 and has a 2.9 percent margin of error. Quinnipiac’s previous poll, released in late March, showed Obama with a 49-to-42 percent advantage in the Sunshine State.
Obama won Florida with 51 percent in 2008.
Florida has a smaller gender gap than Ohio and Pennsylvania, two other swing states where Quinnipiac also released new polls today. Obama has a 44-to-42 percent lead among women voters in Florida, compared to a 13-point advantage with Ohio women and a 17-point lead with female voters in Pennsylvania. Men favor Romney by 4 points in Florida, 10 points in Ohio and 3 points in Pennsylvania.
Obama’s 2-point edge among Florida women in the new poll compares to a 14-point gap in late March.
The new polls show Ohio a virtual tie while Obama holds a 47-to-39 percent advantage in Pennsylvania. Obama carried both those states in 2008.
In Florida, Romney gets better marks than Obama on the economy, with 49 percent saying the Republican would do a better job handling economic issues and 40 percent favoring Obama.
Obama’s signature domestic policy achievement, the new federal health care law, remains unpopular with Floridians. Fifty-three percent want Congress to repeal the law and 51 percent say they want the Supreme Court to overturn it. Only 39 percent favor letting the law stand, with 38 percent wanting the court to uphold the law.
Sen. Marco Rubio is the top choice to be Romney’s running mate for 40 percent of Floridians, with New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie a distant second at 14 percent.
Ohio Sen. Rob Portman is the top Republican VP choice in his home state, while Christie is the top pick in neighboring Pennsylvania.